A post by river at River Bend Blog seems to confirm that Iraqi's not only believe there is little certainty in the ability of their government to keep from splintering but that in fact the Iraqi security forces may already be choosing sides.
"It confirmed what has been obvious to Iraqis since the beginning- the Iraqi security forces are actually militias allied to religious and political
This followed a televised warning to not comply with orders of any security forces unless they are accompanied by coalition forces.
As river noted, how do you not comply when armed gangs simply burst in your door?
I first saw this at The Daily Dish. John Deere cap tip to Andrew Sullivan.